TuRa Harksheide vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
7º
14º
11º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NIE
6 - 1
THA
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
THA
3 - 0
PAL
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 1
THA
68%
16%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
THA
1 - 0
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
THA
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
7 - 0
HAM
39%
21%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 0
RUG
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 2
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
WAN
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAM
13%
16%
70%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |