TuRa Harksheide vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
15º
12º
14
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 85 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 77 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 76 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 53 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 38 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
THA
2 - 4
VHG
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 1
THA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
HEB
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 1
THA
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 0
NIE
14%
16%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 2
HAL
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
4 - 0
ATB
79%
12%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |