TuRa Harksheide vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
16º
16º
7
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 78 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
57.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
THA
2 - 4
VHG
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 1
THA
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
HEB
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 1
THA
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 0
NIE
14%
16%
70%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 2
HAL
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
4 - 0
ATB
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |