TuRa Harksheide vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SVE
1 - 3
THA
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
THA
1 - 2
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 0
THA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
THA
4 - 2
HEB
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NDF
2 - 1
THA
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ELM
1 - 0
VHA
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OTT
4 - 1
ELM
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ELM
3 - 1
SCS
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IHA
4 - 2
ELM
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SVE
2 - 1
ELM
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |