TuRa Bremen vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
49.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
15º
12º
8
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WER
4 - 0
TRB
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 1
HAB
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 0
TRB
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
0 - 2
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BTN
3 - 3
TRB
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 4
BRI
55%
19%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 6
UNI
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
BLU
62%
18%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 3
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
UNI
34%
21%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |