TuRa Bremen vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
11º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 3
GEE
30%
20%
51%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WER
12 - 0
TRB
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
1 - 3
OBE
17%
16%
67%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
4 - 1
TRB
19%
19%
62%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -4 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 2
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 6
OSC
7%
12%
82%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |