TuRa Bremen vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
73.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
15º
13º
29
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 1
TRB
93%
5%
2%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 3
EHB
38%
21%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
6 - 3
TRB
79%
12%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
5 - 1
TRB
78%
13%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 2
WOL
42%
21%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 1
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
GEE
15%
16%
70%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
BLU
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 5
GEE
30%
22%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 3
WER
77%
13%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |