Tupi vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AMF
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 0
TUP
18%
20%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
YPI
5 - 1
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 1
VOL
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AMF
3 - 0
VIL
81%
15%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 5
TFC
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DEM
4 - 3
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |