Tupi vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 0
BOA
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 2
TUP
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 3
CRZ
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
TUP
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMF
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAM
1 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |