Tupi vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |