Tupi vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 0
CRI
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
TUP
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
AMF
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 2
ATM
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
4 - 1
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
59%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RBR
3 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |