Tupi vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
7 - 1
DEM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
TUP
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOA
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 1
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
URT
0 - 2
TUP
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
TOM
85%
11%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
TUP
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
URT
1 - 0
TOM
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 0
AMF
17%
23%
59%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
3 - 1
DEM
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |