Tupi vs Rio Branco MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
0 - 0
TUP
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUP
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 0
DEM
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 0
CRI
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
UBE
3 - 2
RBR
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
RBR
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
3 - 1
USC
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
DEM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |