Tupi vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 3
TUP
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 5
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
RES
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
RES
22%
24%
53%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
ARA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |