Tupi vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
TUP
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 0
TUP
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 5
UBE
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
TUP
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 2
PAT
92%
7%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
URT
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
PAT
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |