Tupi vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 5
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TUP
0 - 2
CRZ
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 1
NOV
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |