Tupi vs Nacional EC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
TUP
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
TUP
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
3 - 1
OES
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
OES
0 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 3
BOA
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PAT
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 0
NEC
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
4 - 3
URT
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |