Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Tupi vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 1
TUP
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 2
APA
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUP
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 1
TUP
39%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
RES
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
MIX
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |