Tupi vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 2
MIX
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 1
TUP
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
URT
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
DEM
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |