Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-3
Tupi vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 3
ARA
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 1
TUP
89%
9%
3%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
AME
56%
22%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
TUP
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
0 - 1
SIN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MIX
0 - 0
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MGR
1 - 1
LUV
18%
20%
62%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 2
URO
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
RON
0 - 1
LUV
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |