Tupi vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 0
TUP
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
4 - 2
TUP
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 3
CUI
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
TUP
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
BOT
27%
30%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CUI
5 - 0
JEC
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 3
OPE
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
JEC
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
JEC
3 - 1
TOM
44%
30%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |