Tupi vs Itaborai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
TUP
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
URT
2 - 1
TUP
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 3
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
4 - 1
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 2
PAT
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
58%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRI
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 0
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |