Tupi vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
JUA
0 - 2
TUP
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
TUP
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOA
36%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATM
10%
20%
71%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
URT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |