Tupi vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 1
AMF
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TUP
0 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
TUP
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |