Tupi vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
TUP
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 1
USC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
TUP
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
USC
1 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |