Tupi vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
TUP
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 0
MOG
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
TUP
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
DUQ
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |