Tupi vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 1
TUP
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
TUP
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TUP
2 - 2
USC
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
0 - 2
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
DEM
0 - 0
AME
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEM
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |