Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Tupi vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 0
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
7 - 1
DEM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
TUP
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOA
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 1
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAT
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
4 - 2
CRZ
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |