Tupi vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
TUP
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 0
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAX
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |