Tupi vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AMF
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 0
TUP
18%
20%
63%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
YPI
5 - 1
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMF
8%
19%
73%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |