Tupi vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
TUP
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 0
IFC
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
TUP
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TUP
3 - 2
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FUN
1 - 1
CAL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 0
CAL
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |