Tupi vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
TUP
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
TUP
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
TUP
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
GUA
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
BRA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
BRA
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |