Tupi vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUP
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
IFC
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
TUP
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAD
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOT
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |