Tupi vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 2
TOM
94%
5%
1%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAC
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 13 | 71 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
RCA
3 - 1
ATM
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |