Tupi vs Aracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUP
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 3
TUP
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
RES
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |