Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-3
Tupi vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUP
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 3
TUP
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 3
APA
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |