Tupi vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 1
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 1
AMF
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 3
ITU
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
ANA
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 2
ANA
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |