Tupi vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
TOM
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
TUP
83%
13%
4%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 1
PAY
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
TUP
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
URT
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AMF
4 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 1
AMF
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 2
AMF
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |