Tupi vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 2
ATM
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 0
TUP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
TUP
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
AMF
1 - 0
RBR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
AMF
1 - 0
UBE
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ATM
0 - 0
AMF
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
AMF
2 - 0
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 2
AMF
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |