Série C Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Tupi vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 2
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
TUP
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
TUP
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
3 - 1
ASA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |