Tupapa Maraerenga vs Pago Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupapa Maraerenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
LOT
89%
7%
3%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
KIW
50%
21%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BAF
4 - 1
TUP
47%
19%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +15 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
TUP
0 - 4
NFC
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 7
LAE
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Pago Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
KIW
4 - 3
PAG
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 5
LOT
89%
8%
4%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 5
TUP
39%
20%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +13 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 13
SOA
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VEI
1 - 1
PAG
11%
16%
74%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |