Tupapa Maraerenga vs Ilaoa & Toomata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupapa Maraerenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TUP
1 - 0
VEI
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
TUP
3 - 1
AVA
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUP
8 - 2
TIT
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TUP
0 - 2
NIK
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
TUP
17%
17%
66%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ilaoa & Toomata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ITO
0 - 13
SOA
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
1 - 0
VTO
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +9 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
1 - 4
BLR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
ITO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
0 - 2
ROP
55%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |