Tupapa Maraerenga vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
88.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9.5%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.1%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.4%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupapa Maraerenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 10
SOL
30%
20%
50%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 1
PAG
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
LOT
89%
7%
3%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
KIW
50%
21%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BAF
4 - 1
TUP
47%
19%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +15 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
HAW
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
AUC
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
WEL
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |