Tupã vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
TUP
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
VOT
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
TUP
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |