Tupã vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
1 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
TUP
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
2 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
OSV
1 - 1
TUP
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AAI
3 - 0
SAN
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
VOC
33%
30%
38%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |