Tupã vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 2
VOT
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
TUP
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 3
AGU
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |