Tupã vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
TUP
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
3 - 1
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 1
TUP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 2
FRA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
RIO
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
INT
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |