Tupã vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
TUP
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 5
PRI
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
ATI
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 0
SJS
35%
27%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
PRI
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |