Tupã vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
1 - 1
TUP
63%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 2
AME
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 2
TUP
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 0
JUV
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
MAT
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INT
5 - 1
NOR
56%
26%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 4
NOR
55%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 4
SJS
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
COT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |