Paraense Inicial Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Tuna Luso vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
TUN
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
TUN
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
FRA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
REM
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
0 - 1
CSA
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
PAY
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
REM
0 - 1
PAY
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
REM
1 - 2
PAY
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAY
0 - 1
REM
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
PRI
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |