Tuna Luso vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 0
TUN
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
TUN
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 1
FPI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
3 - 0
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
JCA
89%
9%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 2
FPI
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 2
MOT
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
JCA
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
4DE
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |